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ALASKAN KING CRAB CO. · SEPTEMBER 2026 · ROSEWATER GROWTH

Creative Demand
Model.

A September percentage playbook reconciled to the completed 220-ad Creative Plan, Motion performance, the real calendar windows and a visible monthly newness requirement.

READ ME FIRST

220 launched ads is a recommended floor, not a ceiling. Hold the percentages as output scales. Every brief is either a dated Moment or durable Evergreen.

Output floor
220 LAUNCHED ADS · 72 NEW
Architecture
5 PERSONAS · 17 STRATEGIC ANGLES
Sources
CREATIVE PLAN · MOTION · CALENDAR · RESEARCH
Executive Summary · Reconciled to the Creative Plan

The mix, in three numbers.

September protects the evergreen engine, funds the dated windows and introduces a measurable newness layer. The workbook now makes every percentage operational at launched-ad grain.

Moments vs Evergreen
30% / 70%
66 moment · 154 always-on. Giveaway is the flagship; dated work retires on schedule.
Image vs Video
35% / 65%
77 image · 143 video. Image returned 3.25× vs video 3.03× while receiving only 11.9% of spend.
Fresh / NEW concepts
32.7%
72 launched ads. Fifty come from five researched seasonal lanes; 22 refresh giveaway, packing and objection mechanics.

The big bet

Make newness a governed monthly input. Keep proven systems working, but reserve 25–35% of output for fresh concepts with a named seasonal signal, human tension or proof mechanism. Gold-tagged work is reviewed for adoption and winners before it earns iteration share.

Creative Volume · 2026 Run-Rate

Volume this year—and the September floor.

Bars are distinct ad names launched from Motion launch dates; the line is monthly Meta spend from Motion. August is partial through August 19. September is the planning floor.

Apr–Jun avg
145/mo
The Q2 launch baseline before the July step-up.
August pace
~227
139 launched through Aug 19, paced to full month.
September floor
220
Holds the current operating regime through a dense calendar.

Recommendation

Use 220 as the floor. July proved 214, August is pacing slightly above it, and September has six real windows after the September 1 placeholders are removed. A lower number would force the giveaway and free-shipping work to crowd out evergreen.

Performance-Led Persona Architecture

Five people. One source of truth.

The model now matches AssetMaster exactly: every ad has one primary persona. Moments and offers are scheduling layers—not extra “people” that inflate the persona total.

Primary persona · who is insideClosest Motion baseSept output
HostGame-day hosts, family-table organizers and repeat gathering buyers. Strong base; add sharper September rituals.27.0% Social HostsMOTION 90D25.5%SEPT OUTPUT
GifterBirthdays, fall occasions, Grandparents Day and referral-sharing all roll into one person-led lane.21.4% Celebrators + GiftersMOTION 90D21.4%SEPT OUTPUT
FoodieDesire, provenance, preparation and species education earn expansion ahead of Seafood Month.20.3% Enthusiasts + Food ShoppersMOTION 90D25.0%SEPT OUTPUT
First TimerThe largest correction: delivery, price, preparation and selection confidence.3.7% Skeptics + First-TimeMOTION 90D16.8%SEPT OUTPUT
SplurgerOccasion-led indulgence plus restaurant-value proof converts a small but productive signal.2.1% Self-TreatersMOTION 90D11.3%SEPT OUTPUT

Why output ≠ paid share

Historical spend describes what the account already knows; output decides what it learns next. Host remains the lead performance lane, Foodie expands into education, and First Timer receives the largest whitespace correction. The workbook is the executional tie-out.

The Spine · How We Cut the Month

Every ad is a Moment or it’s Evergreen.

A Moment has a dated window and a retirement date. Evergreen targets a durable human tension. September is busy enough to earn 30% moments—but not busy enough to let promo become the whole account.

Moments · dated
30% ≈66 ads
Birthdays/fall occasions, One Last Smoke, loyalty redemption, giveaway, free shipping, Sunday Feast/Make It a Night.
Evergreen · durable
70% ≈154 ads
Host, gifting, foodie, skeptic, repeat-buyer and splurge systems that can survive October.
◂ MOMENTS 30%EVERGREEN 70% ▸

The rule

If a brief cannot name its dated offer window, it is Evergreen. Promo creative ran 3.65× and price promotion 5.43× in Motion; that strength earns attention, not permanent dependence.

Moments · Mapped to the September Calendar

Six windows—and their share.

Each row is a share of the 66 moment ads. September 1 is excluded because the calendar labels there are placeholders.

Window · what ships% of momentsIMG / VID
1Birthdays + Fall OccasionsSep 7–10. Gift walkthroughs, recipient reactions and specific September milestones. Football is now a separate evergreen seasonal lane.16%≈11 ADS4 / 7
2One Last SmokeSep 13. End-of-summer permission to splurge. Fire, smoke and product texture; no vague lifestyle montage.9%≈6 ADS2 / 4
3Redeem Your PointsSep 15. Sunset the loyalty program positively: spend remaining points and treat yourself before October.12%≈8 ADS5 / 3
4Ultimate King Crab Feast GiveawayFLAGSHIPSep 16–Oct 4. Double-winner referral mechanic, custom thank-you-page conversion and a shoppable post-entry experience.33%≈22 ADS7 / 15
5Free Shipping PushSep 21–23. Isolated campaign and message window; strongest offer proof receives its own budget and read.21%≈14 ADS8 / 6
6Sunday Feast + Make It a NightSep 27–29. Close the month on ritual and splurge, then hand into October fall-harvest storytelling.9%≈5 ADS2 / 3
Σ All Moments100% ≈66 ADS28 / 38

Production read

Front-load the giveaway. Referral, paid-social, landing-page and thank-you-page creative must be approved before September 16. Build the free-shipping kit as a separate, shorter campaign. Retire points messaging after the sunset window and the shipping offer after September 23.

Newness Map · What Is Fresh This Month

Fifty seasonal ads. Twenty-two fresh mechanics.

Gold is not decoration: it identifies work that is genuinely new to the system and must be graded before it becomes an iteration lane.

MONTHLY NEWNESS CONTRACT
72 ADS

32.7% of the floor. Five seasonal lanes create 50; giveaway, packing and objection mechanics add 22.

TARGET RANGE GOING FORWARD · 25–35% NEW
NEW · Sep 3–30
Family Meals Month
16

One more feast together; table-talk prompts and three-generation connection.

NEW · Sep 7–13
Football Kickoff
12

Crab draft, first-drive feast, halftime butter board and Sunday playbook.

NEW · Sep 9–13
Grandparents Day
8

Gift reaction, crab-cracking lessons and intergenerational table stories.

NEW · Sep 19–22
Fall Equinox
6

First cold-night feast, brown-butter season and grill-to-table transition.

NEW · Sep 24–30
Seafood Month Pre-Seed
8

Species school, size-to-yield and Alaska authority ahead of October.

The additional 22

12 new giveaway mechanics (two winners, feast captain, referral relay) + 5 new packing-proof executions (temperature test, real order, ice-pack ASMR) + 5 new objection executions (comment replies and preparation confidence). Research basis: NFL Week 1, Family Meals Month, Grandparents Day, the September equinox, NOAA Seafood Month and FMI seafood-barrier research.

View 1 of 3 · Persona Mix

Persona % split—the output target.

Reference counts are the exact AssetMaster row totals at the 220 floor. Gold rows are deliberate expansion or build lanes.

Primary persona% of outputShare# at 220
HostLEAN IN25.5%
56 ads
GifterLEAN IN21.4%
47 ads
FoodieEXPAND25.0%
55 ads
First TimerBUILD16.8%
37 ads
SplurgerEXPAND11.3%
25 ads
Total100%220 floor
Persona Rationale · The Why Sheet

Why each lane earns its share.

Each allocation is tied to Motion performance, the September calendar or the selective meeting inputs.

HostLEAN IN
25.5%
56 ADS

The lead persona absorbs game day, Family Meals Month, Sunday Feast, repeat rituals and operational proof. It remains below the 27.0% Social Host paid share while gaining more distinct occasions.

21 NEW · SOCIAL HOSTS 27.0% SPEND · 3.39× ROAS
GifterLEAN IN
21.4%
47 ADS

September birthdays remain proven, while Grandparents Day and giveaway-sharing create genuinely new reasons to give. The creative sells the recipient reaction and complete dinner experience.

21 NEW · CELEBRATORS 3.57× · GIFT GIVERS 2.65×
FoodieEXPAND
25.0%
55 ADS

Sensory food desire remains the base; species education and National Seafood Month pre-seeding expand the lane from appetite into authority and repeat purchase.

14 NEW · SEAFOOD ENTHUSIASTS 2.61× · FOOD SHOPPERS 2.65×
First TimerBUILD
16.8%
37 ADS

The largest intentional correction. Packing proof, comment-reply objections, free shipping and preparation education address the exact knowledge and price barriers suppressing seafood trial.

13 NEW · SKEPTICAL BUYERS 3.07× · FMI BARRIER RESEARCH
SplurgerEXPAND
11.3%
25 ADS

One Last Smoke, the fall equinox, loyalty redemption and Make It a Night give self-treaters timely permission plus a rational restaurant-value frame.

3 NEW · SELF-TREATERS 2.80× · RESTAURANT VALUE 4.41×
Inside the Personas · Sub-Persona Allocation · 1 of 2

Host and Gifter sub-personas.

The first 103 ads target a specific gathering or gifting job. Moment campaigns roll into the person responsible for the purchase.

Host · 56 ads
Sub-persona# ads
Family Table HostFamily Meals Month: one more meal together, table-talk prompts and three-generation stories.16
Game-Day HostKickoff draft, first-drive feast, halftime butter board and Sunday playbook.12
Sunday / Repeat HostSunday Feast, fall-is-crab-season and the box everyone asks for again.18
Proof-Led HostPortions, packing and prep ease for the person responsible for the whole table.10
Σ Host56
Gifter · 47 ads
Sub-persona# ads
Birthday / Fall GifterGift walkthroughs and milestone-specific recipient reactions.13
Grandparents Day GifterIntergenerational table stories and “call before the box arrives.”8
Giveaway SharerTwo-winner and feast-captain mechanics that make entry social.12
Gift Journey BuyerCheckout-to-unboxing clarity, shipping confidence and fall occasion gifting.14
Σ Gifter47

Briefing rule

Every concept names the person and the occasion. “Host” is incomplete; “kickoff feast captain replacing wings with king crab” is briefable.

Inside the Personas · Sub-Persona Allocation · 2 of 2

Foodie, First Timer and Splurger sub-personas.

The remaining 117 ads map desire, proof, education, retention and indulgence without creating extra persona rows.

Foodie · 55 ads
Sub-persona# ads
Food-First SensorySteam, texture, scale, butter pulls and first-crack sound.18
Seafood StudentKing vs snow, size-to-yield and preparation education before October.8
Proof / Value FoodiePacking authenticity and restaurant-experience comparison.15
Repeat / Giveaway FoodieReorder memory, product love and qualified feast sharing.14
Σ Foodie55
First Timer · 37 ads
Sub-persona# ads
Objection-Series BuyerOne question per ad: arrival, portioning, cracking, preparation and quality.15
Cold-Chain SkepticReal orders, temperature checks, ice-pack ASMR and doorstep proof.9
Offer-Assisted First TimerFree shipping plus transparent value and preparation confidence.13
Σ First Timer37
Splurger · 25 ads
Sub-persona# ads
Seasonal Self-TreaterOne Last Smoke and first-cold-night fall rituals.12
Reward RedeemerTurn points into plates before the loyalty sunset.5
Date-Night ComparerMake It a Night and restaurant-receipt value framing.8
Σ Splurger25

Guardrail

Use verified product, sourcing and shipping facts. “Not all king crab is the same” must prove a real distinction; never imply a competitor’s product is counterfeit or unsafe without substantiation.

Micro-Personas · Six Fresh Briefing Lenses

Six people the NEW work can speak to.

These are production lenses, not new budget rows. Each ad inherits Host, Gifter, Foodie, First Timer or Splurger as its primary persona.

The Kickoff Feast Captain
NEW · NFL WEEK 1

The host drafting crab legs over wings for the first big Sunday table.

▸ Countdown UGC + host static
The Grandparent Gifter
NEW · SEP 13

A distant family member sending the dinner their grandparent would never buy alone.

▸ Reaction story + gift walkthrough
The First Cold-Night Splurger
NEW · SEP 22

A self-treater switching from summer grill to brown-butter season.

▸ Cozy sensory UGC
The Seafood Student
NEW · OCT PRE-SEED

A curious buyer who needs species, yield and preparation confidence.

▸ Explainer + carousel
The Nervous Online Buyer
NEW PROOF CUTS

Shipping, value and “will it look like the photo?” answered by real warehouse evidence.

▸ FAQ UGC + temperature test
The Two-Winner Sharer
NEW MECHANIC

A giveaway entrant choosing the person who gets the other half of the feast.

▸ Referral prompt + prize reveal

What changed

The plan preserves real packing, direct objections and food-first cuts, then adds researched seasonal humans: kickoff host, grandparent gifter, first-cold-night splurger and seafood student.

View 2 of 3 · Awareness Mix

Recommended awareness split.

The percentages are the planning view; the counts are the exact Creative Plan tie-out: 22 / 48 / 51 / 55 / 44.

10%
Unaware
22%
Problem Aware
23%
Solution Aware
25%
Product Aware
20%
Most Aware
StageSept targetEvidence ROASVerdictRecommendation
Unaware10%22 ADS2.61–3.57×holdFood-first, hosting and gifting scenes that create desire before the product explanation.
Problem Aware22%48 ADS3.07×buildShipping anxiety, gift fatigue, restaurant price and uncertainty about online seafood.
Solution Aware23%51 ADS2.63–3.48×buildOvernight delivery, superior quality and worth-the-price proof.
Product Aware25%55 ADS3.25–4.41×lean inPacking authenticity, comparison, customer validation and specific occasion fit.
Most Aware20%44 ADS3.65×capGiveaway, loyalty and free-shipping moments. Strong but intentionally capped.

Honest caveat

Offer-first creative can meet a cold viewer and a packing video can close a warm one. Use the split to maintain the funnel’s balance; do not force every ad into a false precision.

View 3 of 3 · Format by Spend

What to make more of.

Motion supplies the efficiency read; the Creative Plan supplies the exact September counts. Steel = video · coral = image.

Format90d spend shareROASSept targetVerdict
UGC Video vid
71.3%
3.09×50%110 ADSThe reach engine: one named person, one tension and one proof point per execution.
Brand / Founder Video vid
—
—6.8%15 ADSUse authority for species school, objection answers and Alaska provenance.
Production / BTS Video vid
13.1%
3.34×8.2%18 ADSOperational proof: real orders, cold chain, warehouse character and packing sound.
Static img
11.9%
3.25×27.7%61 ADSScale persona proof, seasonal hooks and offer clarity in the underfed image family.
Carousel img
0.0%
—4.1%9 ADSSequence the buying journey: box → size → preparation → table.
GIF / Motion img
0.2%
0.00×3.2%7 ADSControlled reveals and urgency; keep the test bounded until spend proves it.
IMAGE family11.9% spend · 3.25×underfed→ 35%Scale proof, clarity and moment kits
VIDEO family85.6% spend · 3.03×dominant→ 65%Keep reach; raise specificity

The one-line read

Video remains the volume engine, but image is the underfed efficient family. The exact floor is 110 UGC videos, 15 brand/founder videos, 18 production/BTS videos, 61 statics, 9 carousels and 7 GIFs.

The Matrix · Where the Three Views Connect

Format mix per persona.

This is the exact workbook matrix. Counts are at the 220 floor; video combines UGC, brand/founder and production/BTS.

Primary personaPrimary awarenessStaticVideoCarouselGIFTotal
HostLEANUnaware / Product14383156
GifterLEANUnaware / Product13303147
FoodieEXPANDUnaware / Solution16332455
First TimerBUILDProblem / Solution11251·37
SplurgerEXPANDUnaware / Product717·125
Total · 220 floorImage family 35% · Video 65%6114397220

How to use it

“First Timer × Video × 25” becomes cold-chain, preparation, selection and value concepts—not twenty-five near-identical edits. AssetMaster carries the distinct hook, variation and owner for every row.

Vendor Playbook · Creative Plan Tie-Out

Exact floor share—and what to own.

The workbook assigns all 220 ads across the observed production roster. These counts are the current planning allocation, not assumed contractual commitments.

Brand Development / Internal
65% PLAN · 143 ADS AT FLOOR
80.4% of classified 90-day spend at 3.30×
YOUR SEPTEMBER MIX

Own the exact 65% production floor while covering all five personas and the speed-sensitive moment kits.

POINT IT AT

Lead Cold-Chain Proof Lab, recurring warehouse character, football/family-meal kits and the offer-calendar handoffs.

Insense / Creator Network
25% PLAN · 55 ADS AT FLOOR
17.7% of classified 90-day spend at 2.63×
YOUR SEPTEMBER MIX

45 of 72 NEW ads originate here; every creator receives one persona, one seasonal job and one proof point.

POINT IT AT

First Cold-Night Feast, Grandparents Day, King Crab Species School and role-led first-timer objections.

Legacy / Unlabeled
10% PLAN · 22 RE-CUTS / CLEANUP
1.9% of classified spend; strong but unassignable at 3.95×
YOUR SEPTEMBER MIX

Re-cut proven footage into workbook-mapped concepts; do not create a new ownerless lane.

POINT IT AT

Restaurant Receipt Challenge, stronger long-form openings and named successor cuts. Rename or retire.

Roster assumption

If another active vendor exists outside the Motion naming convention, add it before production lock and re-scale these shares without changing the persona, awareness, format or newness mix.

Vendor Scorecard · Two-Lens Monthly Grading

How the observed roster graded.

Motion group-by-name data, classified from the ad-name convention. Account benchmark: 3.07× ROAS. Recent cohort is July launches; a new winner requires ≥$300 spend at ≥1.4×.

Vendor · feedback90d spend90d ROASJuly cohortGrade
Brand Development / InternalCarries the account above benchmark and produced 23 July winners. The opportunity is focus: fewer interchangeable montages, more named personas and successor concepts.
$232,473 · 80.4%
3.30×2.73× · 23 wins / 212A-
Insense / Creator NetworkBlended efficiency is below the 3.07× account benchmark and July had no meaningful new cohort. Give it a narrow, role-led September assignment and re-grade after spend adopts.
$51,030 · 17.7%
2.63×1 launch · no readB-
Legacy / UnlabeledSmall but efficient spend is not attributable to a current owner. Rename winning assets into the convention and retire the remainder.
$5,499 · 1.9%
3.95×3.94× · 1 win / 1—

How the loop works

Grade → share → re-grade. Blended efficiency matters, but recent winner production decides whether a lane is compounding or living on old hits. Internal earns the largest September share; Insense gets a narrower role-led assignment; legacy must be renamed or retired.

Attribution caveat

Scorecard ROAS is the Motion workspace’s Meta-attributed goal metric. Use it for relative creative decisions, not as a substitute for contribution margin or blended business reporting.

Where to Focus · This Month

The eight moves that earn the mix.

Each move names a share, a creative mechanism and the measurement consequence.

FLOOR · RUN-RATE
Set 220 launched ads
July 214 · Aug pace ~227

Use 220 as the floor, not a quota. Hold the mix above it.

SPINE · DISCIPLINE
Cap moments at 30%
66 moment · 154 evergreen

September is busy, but the giveaway and free-shipping windows cannot consume the month.

NEWNESS · OPERATING RULE
Ship 72 NEW ads
32.7% of the floor

Reserve 25–35% of monthly output for fresh concepts, then grade adoption and winners before repeating.

BIG BET · PERSONA
Build First Timer to 16.8%
37 ads · 13 NEW

Shipping, value, preparation and quality proof turn an underfed signal into a repeatable lane.

PRODUCTION · CHARACTER
Make warehouse staff recurring
packing BTS · 3.32% outbound CTR

A named packer gives authenticity, social proof and a natural objection series.

SEASONAL · NARRATIVE
Own the September-to-October handoff
50 NEW seasonal ads

Kickoff, Family Meals Month, Grandparents Day, the equinox and seafood education create one coherent table-to-fall narrative.

REBALANCE · FORMAT
Raise image family to 35%
image 3.25× vs video 3.03×

Static proof and offer clarity are underfed; video still owns 65% of output.

MEASUREMENT · VENDORS
Grade on blended + new winners
≥$300 spend · ≥1.4×

Averages earned by old ads do not protect next month’s share.

Methodology & Sources

How this model gets built.

The Creative Plan is now the executional source of truth. Motion supplies the performance base; the calendar and research determine dated and seasonal demand; the meeting contributes only details that change execution.

September tie-outs
Output floor220 launched ads · exact workbook tie-out
Fresh / NEW72 ads · 32.7% of output
Primary personasHost 56 · Gifter 47 · Foodie 55 · First Timer 37 · Splurger 25
Moments / Evergreen66 / 154 · 30% / 70%
Image / Video77 / 143 · 35% / 65%
Awareness22 / 48 / 51 / 55 / 44
Vendor split143 internal · 55 Insense · 22 legacy re-cuts
Calendar treatmentSep 1 placeholders excluded
Sources & basis
Creative Plan workbook220-row AssetMaster + eight-sheet execution system
Motion · 90d + cohort readspersona, angle, format, volume and vendor efficiency
Weekly sync · Aug 17selective execution and offer inputs
September calendar screenshotsix real moment windows
NFL + FMI Family Mealskickoff and connection-led seasonal timing
Grandparents Day + USNOSep 13 gift window + Sep 22 equinox
NOAA Seafood MonthOctober category pre-seed
FMI Power of Seafoodprice and preparation barriers

Flagged assumptions

The 220 floor and vendor planning shares remain recommendations because contracted counts were not supplied. Motion audience tags are a performance architecture, not customer-base research. Seasonal sources establish timing and consumer context; they do not substitute for creative test results.

The one thing to remember

These are proportions, not quotas. Hold the persona, awareness and format mix above the floor—and preserve a governed 25–35% newness band so every month creates learning instead of only more iterations.

Rosewater Growth  |  Max Rosewater  ·  ALASKAN KING CRAB CO. · CREATIVE DEMAND MODEL · SEPTEMBER 2026